Title: Organism-scale modeling of early Drosophila patterning via Bone Morphogenetic Proteins Abstract: Mathematical models of embryonic development are formulated to illuminate how the spatio-temporal expression of genes that presages the adult body plan of an organism is controlled, but many have limited utility because they oversimplify crucial aspects such as the geometry, the molecular mechanisms, and other components in the system being modeled. To circumvent these limitations we developed a data- driven, 3D, organism-scale model of bone morphogenetic protein (BMP)- mediated embryonic patterning in Drosophila. We tested 7 different receptor/feedback mechanisms and 8 different geometry/gene expression scenarios for their ability to reproduce the mean distributions of pMad signaling in both wild-type and more than twenty different mutant embryos. We found that positive feedback of a secreted BMP binding protein, coupled with the measured embryo geometry, provides the best agreement between model and experiment. The inclusion of all important factors in a 3D model represents a significant step forward in the systems biology of development.