Abstract
Suppose we have a time-inhomogeneous, one-dimensional branching diffusion
environment. In terms of the movement and reproduction of particles, this
means that if a particle is placed into the environment at space-time location
\((x_0, t_0)\), then the particle moves and reproduces in a strongly Markovian manner
along a random continuous path in a way that can depend locally on both space
and time. Offspring particles behave in the same way, beginning at their spacetime
locations of birth, and thereafter independently of other particles currently
in the environment. Branching Brownian motion is an example in which both
movement and reproduction are spatially and temporally homogeneous.
Suppose a red particle is placed into the environment at space-time location
\((x_r, t_r)\), initiating a red-particle process. Suppose a blue particle is placed into
the environment at space-time location \((x_b, t_b)\), initiating a blue-particle process
independent of the red-particle process. Say that Red is in the lead at time t
if the right-most particle at time t is red. Then the probability that Red is in
the lead at time t converges to a limit l as t goes to infinity, with the value of
l of course depending on the initial positions \((x_r, t_r)\) and \((x_b, t_b)\). Furthermore,
the conditional probability at time r that Red is in the lead at a time t in the
distant future converges to a limiting random variable L :
\(\lim_{r\to\infty} \lim_{t\to\infty} P(\text{Red leads at time } t|\mathcal{F}_r)=L\)
Here \(\mathcal{F}_r\) is the sigma-field generated by the red and blue processes up through
time r.